Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Dickinson 47.7% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 87.6%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 76.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 64.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Hughes
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hughes
Dickinson
Last 8: Hughes 3-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
0
Hughes
Dickinson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
3
Hughes
Dickinson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
2
Hughes
Dickinson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
49.0% (4,363)
-13.0%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
51.1% (141)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
40.5% (884)
-9.5%
On even strength, Dickinson has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,448).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dickinson
Home
36.8% (1,670)
49.3% (2,779)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
45.9% (2,609)
By Period
Hughes
Dickinson
P1
36.9%
46.9%
P2
33.6%
48.1%
P3
38.1%
47.8%
OT
37.5%
52.0%
Final 5 min
34.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |