Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +23.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Hughes wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.6% vs Beagle 58.0% (-23.0%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 98.0%
Defensive zone
Hughes 78.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 89.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Hughes
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Hughes
Beagle
Last 10: Hughes 1-9 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
9
Hughes
Beagle
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Hughes
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (362)
59.0% (458)
-23.4%
Power Play
38.5% (91)
84.2% (19)
-45.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
57.2% (201)
-23.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Hughes is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Hughes shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Hughes
Beagle
Home
37.6% (255)
62.7% (306)
Away
34.3% (207)
56.2% (372)
By Period
Hughes
Beagle
P1
28.5%
64.5%
P2
39.2%
56.7%
P3
40.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
39.3%
62.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |