Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Beagle 56.7% (-20.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 96.5%
Defensive zone
Hughes 97.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 87.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 96.7%
96.7%
3.3%
Hughes
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Hughes
Beagle
Last 10: Hughes 1-9 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
9
Hughes
Beagle
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Hughes
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
57.5% (4,994)
-21.5%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
60.5% (119)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
54.2% (1,554)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Hughes
Beagle
Home
36.8% (1,670)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Hughes
Beagle
P1
36.9%
57.4%
P2
33.6%
57.1%
P3
38.1%
56.2%
OT
37.5%
41.3%
Final 5 min
34.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |