Scouting Report
Joel Farabee holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Farabee shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Farabee 48.0% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 56.1%
Defensive zone
Farabee 56.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.8%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Hughes
Farabee
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Farabee
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
44.4% (36)
-7.6%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
50.0% (4)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
40.0% (10)
-6.7%
On power play, Farabee has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Farabee shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Farabee is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Hughes
Farabee
Home
35.1% (148)
38.1% (21)
Away
37.4% (131)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Hughes
Farabee
P1
43.0%
56.5%
P2
28.7%
43.8%
P3
35.2%
18.2%
Final 5 min
28.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
44.0%