Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beecher on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Beecher shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Beecher 53.8% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 95.8%
Defensive zone
Beecher 65.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 68.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Hughes
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hughes
Beecher
Last 5: Hughes 1-4 Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Beecher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
1
Hughes
Beecher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
3
Hughes
Beecher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
56.2% (388)
-20.6%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Beecher has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Beecher is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Hughes
Beecher
Home
38.4% (198)
51.5% (196)
Away
35.3% (119)
56.6% (304)
By Period
Hughes
Beecher
P1
44.3%
58.6%
P2
34.2%
49.0%
P3
34.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
40.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | John Beecher |