Scouting Report
Kevin Rooney holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Rooney 46.4% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 76.0%
Defensive zone
Rooney 90.9%
Neutral zone
Rooney 71.3%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Hughes
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Hughes
Rooney
Last 10: Hughes 6-4 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
1
Hughes
Rooney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
2
Hughes
Rooney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
5
4
Hughes
Rooney
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
46.7% (2,042)
-10.7%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
41.7% (48)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
43.4% (267)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Rooney has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Home / Away
Hughes
Rooney
Home
36.8% (1,670)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
Hughes
Rooney
P1
36.9%
48.1%
P2
33.6%
47.1%
P3
38.1%
43.6%
OT
37.5%
12.5%
Final 5 min
34.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |