Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-21.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 81.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 82.5%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 56.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 82.5%
17.5%
82.5%
Hughes
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Hughes
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
58.6% (797)
-20.7%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
62.5% (24)
-29.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
60.5% (233)
-24.1%
On power play, Stenlund has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Hughes
Stenlund
Home
36.6% (314)
58.6% (548)
Away
38.5% (353)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Hughes
Stenlund
P1
36.4%
60.2%
P2
35.6%
59.1%
P3
41.8%
58.3%
OT
0.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
36.4%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |