Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Couture 48.3% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 70.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 84.9%
Neutral zone
Couture 58.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Hughes
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hughes
Couture
Last 6: Hughes 3-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
1
3
Hughes
Couture
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (2,772)
48.8% (8,919)
-12.9%
Power Play
39.0% (223)
54.6% (624)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
39.8% (992)
-8.8%
On power play, Couture has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Hughes is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,858).
Hughes shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Hughes
Couture
Home
36.7% (1,596)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
35.3% (1,441)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Hughes
Couture
P1
36.3%
47.9%
P2
33.7%
47.9%
P3
38.3%
49.2%
OT
37.5%
48.0%
Final 5 min
34.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |