Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Couture 47.6% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 73.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 87.7%
Neutral zone
Couture 52.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Hughes
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hughes
Couture
Last 6: Hughes 3-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
1
3
Hughes
Couture
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
49.2% (1,083)
-14.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
56.7% (60)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
35.4% (206)
-2.1%
On even strength, Couture has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Hughes
Couture
Home
37.4% (235)
49.6% (713)
Away
33.2% (229)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Hughes
Couture
P1
37.1%
47.2%
P2
33.7%
45.0%
P3
34.8%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |