Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Zuccarello 40.7% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Zuccarello 55.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 54.1%
Neutral zone
Zuccarello 54.0%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Hughes
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
39.5% (435)
-3.5%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
36.1% (61)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
33.3% (21)
-2.3%
On even strength, Zuccarello has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Zuccarello is 36.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zuccarello
Home
36.8% (1,670)
38.6% (272)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
39.2% (245)
By Period
Hughes
Zuccarello
P1
36.9%
36.4%
P2
33.6%
36.5%
P3
38.1%
45.2%
OT
37.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
34.2%
30.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Zuccarello
50.0%▲
42.0%
38.9%