Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.6% vs Stephens 52.0% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 75.7%
Defensive zone
Stephens 87.5%
Neutral zone
Stephens 56.2%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Hughes
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hughes
Stephens
Last 6: Hughes 3-3 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Hughes
Stephens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
2
Hughes
Stephens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Stephens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (362)
54.4% (296)
-18.8%
Power Play
38.5% (91)
28.6% (7)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
46.2% (52)
-12.9%
On even strength, Stephens has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Hughes is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Hughes shoots left. Stephens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Hughes
Stephens
Home
37.6% (255)
54.8% (177)
Away
34.3% (207)
50.3% (179)
By Period
Hughes
Stephens
P1
28.5%
55.4%
P2
39.2%
50.4%
P3
40.8%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |