Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Stephens 52.4% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.6%
Defensive zone
Stephens 71.9%
Neutral zone
Stephens 52.6%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Hughes
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Hughes
Stephens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
57.0% (135)
-19.1%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
0.0% (5)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
50.0% (54)
-13.6%
On power play, Hughes has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Stephens is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Hughes
Stephens
Home
36.6% (314)
53.9% (89)
Away
38.5% (353)
53.3% (105)
By Period
Hughes
Stephens
P1
36.4%
47.4%
P2
35.6%
57.7%
P3
41.8%
57.4%
Final 5 min
36.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |