Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Thompson 54.3% (-21.1%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 75.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 83.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 64.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Hughes
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
55.5% (236)
-21.0%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
60.0% (5)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
56.5% (46)
-31.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Hughes
Thompson
Home
32.6% (187)
53.1% (128)
Away
36.7% (166)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Hughes
Thompson
P1
33.9%
59.0%
P2
34.2%
55.4%
P3
36.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
29.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%