Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 94.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 69.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Hughes
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hughes
Bjugstad
Last 5: Hughes 3-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Hughes
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
49.4% (867)
-14.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
56.0% (25)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
40.7% (216)
-7.4%
On even strength, Bjugstad has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Hughes
Bjugstad
Home
37.4% (235)
46.5% (480)
Away
33.2% (229)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Hughes
Bjugstad
P1
37.1%
48.7%
P2
33.7%
45.6%
P3
34.8%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |