Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Patrick 48.9% (-13.7%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 55.2%
Defensive zone
Patrick 67.2%
Neutral zone
Patrick 54.1%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Hughes
Patrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
47.4% (156)
-12.9%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
56.3% (16)
-13.4%
On power play, Patrick has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Hughes
Patrick
Home
32.6% (187)
43.8% (96)
Away
36.7% (166)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Hughes
Patrick
P1
33.9%
44.4%
P2
34.2%
45.6%
P3
36.5%
56.0%
Final 5 min
29.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%