Scouting Report
Ryan Greene holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Greene 45.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 59.0%
Defensive zone
Greene 87.7%
Neutral zone
Greene 60.9%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Hughes
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hughes
Greene
Last 5: Hughes 3-2 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Hughes
Greene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Greene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
44.1% (506)
-7.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
47.5% (59)
-33.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.6% (149)
-10.3%
On power play, Greene has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Hughes shoots left. Greene is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Hughes
Greene
Home
35.1% (148)
47.4% (382)
Away
37.4% (131)
40.7% (332)
By Period
Hughes
Greene
P1
43.0%
47.2%
P2
28.7%
39.0%
P3
35.2%
47.0%
Final 5 min
28.6%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |