Scouting Report
Ryan Greene holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Greene 44.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 72.9%
Defensive zone
Greene 64.9%
Neutral zone
Greene 71.1%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Hughes
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hughes
Greene
Last 5: Hughes 3-2 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Hughes
Greene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Greene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
43.7% (524)
-7.7%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
47.5% (59)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
43.6% (149)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Greene has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Greene is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Hughes
Greene
Home
36.8% (1,670)
47.4% (382)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
40.3% (350)
By Period
Hughes
Greene
P1
36.9%
46.4%
P2
33.6%
38.9%
P3
38.1%
47.0%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |