Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Strome 45.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 62.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 79.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 54.6%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Hughes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hughes
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Hughes
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
44.2% (267)
-7.4%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
37.0% (27)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (4)
-16.7%
On power play, Strome has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Hughes shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Hughes
Strome
Home
35.1% (148)
42.0% (157)
Away
37.4% (131)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Hughes
Strome
P1
43.0%
40.0%
P2
28.7%
46.4%
P3
35.2%
44.0%
Final 5 min
28.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |