Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Strome 42.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 51.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 76.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 69.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Hughes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Hughes
Strome
Last 10: Hughes 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
0
Hughes
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Hughes
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
1
Hughes
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
41.2% (1,040)
-3.3%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
43.0% (151)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
51.4% (35)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Hughes
Strome
Home
36.6% (314)
40.1% (581)
Away
38.5% (353)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Hughes
Strome
P1
36.4%
41.4%
P2
35.6%
42.9%
P3
41.8%
40.5%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
36.4%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |