Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Bennett 48.3% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 73.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 65.5%
Neutral zone
Hughes 74.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Hughes
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hughes
Bennett
Last 7: Hughes 2-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Hughes
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Hughes
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
46.4% (780)
-9.6%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
57.3% (150)
-43.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.8% (46)
-14.5%
On power play, Bennett has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Hughes
Bennett
Home
35.1% (148)
50.3% (519)
Away
37.4% (131)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Hughes
Bennett
P1
43.0%
47.5%
P2
28.7%
46.6%
P3
35.2%
49.8%
Final 5 min
28.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |