Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Bennett 46.6% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 54.8%
Defensive zone
Bennett 69.9%
Neutral zone
Bennett 76.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Hughes
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Hughes
Bennett
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Hughes
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
46.5% (909)
-8.6%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
43.1% (51)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
38.5% (13)
-2.1%
On power play, Bennett has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Hughes
Bennett
Home
36.6% (314)
45.4% (449)
Away
38.5% (353)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Hughes
Bennett
P1
36.4%
49.6%
P2
35.6%
43.7%
P3
41.8%
45.1%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
36.4%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |