Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.1% vs 35.9%). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pearson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Pearson 39.2% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.4%
Defensive zone
Hughes 54.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 50.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Hughes
Pearson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pearson
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
34.1% (232)
+1.9%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
44.4% (72)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
26.3% (19)
+4.7%
On power play, Pearson has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pearson shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Pearson is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pearson
Home
36.8% (1,670)
32.7% (165)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
39.2% (158)
By Period
Hughes
Pearson
P1
36.9%
40.4%
P2
33.6%
33.0%
P3
38.1%
34.9%
OT
37.5%
27.3%
Final 5 min
34.2%
32.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
35.9%