Scouting Report
Tanner Pearson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Pearson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Pearson 48.3% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 67.8%
Defensive zone
Pearson 68.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 57.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Hughes
Pearson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pearson
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
14.3% (7)
+20.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.0% (10)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pearson shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Pearson is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pearson
Home
37.4% (235)
33.3% (9)
Away
33.2% (229)
44.4% (9)
By Period
Hughes
Pearson
P1
37.1%
50.0%
P2
33.7%
66.7%
P3
34.8%
22.2%
Final 5 min
32.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
38.9%