Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Arvidsson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Arvidsson 44.1% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 64.5%
Defensive zone
Arvidsson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Arvidsson 50.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Hughes
Arvidsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Arvidsson
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
30.6% (49)
+7.3%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
100.0% (1)
-63.6%
On penalty kill, Arvidsson has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arvidsson shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Arvidsson is 27.5% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Hughes
Arvidsson
Home
36.6% (314)
29.6% (27)
Away
38.5% (353)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Hughes
Arvidsson
P1
36.4%
12.5%
P2
35.6%
27.8%
P3
41.8%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Arvidsson
36.0%▼
37.5%
32.7%