Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs McBain 50.9% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 61.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 51.9%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 58.5%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Goodrow
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Goodrow
McBain
Last 5: Goodrow 1-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Goodrow
McBain
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
2
Goodrow
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
52.1% (545)
-12.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.1% (14)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
37.0% (46)
+23.0%
On power play, McBain has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Goodrow
McBain
Home
36.0% (25)
52.2% (289)
Away
54.5% (11)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Goodrow
McBain
P1
46.2%
52.6%
P2
30.8%
53.6%
P3
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
22.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Jack McBain |