Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 39.8% vs McBain 49.9% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 62.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 75.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 54.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Svechkov
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Svechkov
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Svechkov
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Svechkov
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (318)
51.2% (424)
-14.4%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
46.2% (13)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
27.3% (22)
-27.3%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Svechkov is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Svechkov shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Svechkov
McBain
Home
37.0% (181)
53.6% (235)
Away
36.4% (154)
46.0% (224)
By Period
Svechkov
McBain
P1
35.1%
48.6%
P2
44.4%
50.9%
P3
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
36.7%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%