Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Drury wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 51.8% vs McBain 44.7% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 85.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 64.1%
Neutral zone
Drury 73.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Drury
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Drury
McBain
Last 10: Drury 6-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Drury
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
McBain
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
4
1
Drury
McBain
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (114)
45.3% (675)
+9.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
50.0% (16)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
37.6% (149)
-37.6%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +37.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Drury is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Drury shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Drury
McBain
Home
50.0% (68)
45.5% (437)
Away
56.9% (58)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Drury
McBain
P1
39.5%
43.5%
P2
57.1%
44.0%
P3
60.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.2%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Jack Drury |