Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs McCann 48.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 63.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 57.6%
Neutral zone
McCann 53.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
McBain
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McBain
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
48.8% (260)
-2.5%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
37.0% (27)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
50.0% (20)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
McBain
McCann
Home
50.6% (330)
51.0% (143)
Away
39.7% (320)
45.1% (164)
By Period
McBain
McCann
P1
45.4%
53.6%
P2
44.5%
52.0%
P3
45.7%
37.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Jack McBain |