Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Megna on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Megna shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Megna 51.7% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 78.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 70.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 74.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
McBain
Megna
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
McBain
Megna
Last 7: McBain 0-7 Megna
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Megna
0
1
McBain
Megna
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
0
2
McBain
Megna
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Megna
0
4
McBain
Megna
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Megna
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
53.8% (251)
-8.5%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
42.3% (26)
-4.7%
On power play, McBain has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Megna shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. Megna is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
McBain
Megna
Home
45.5% (437)
50.4% (135)
Away
42.4% (403)
54.2% (144)
By Period
McBain
Megna
P1
43.5%
60.9%
P2
44.0%
51.2%
P3
45.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |