Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Dach 37.3% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 54.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 77.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 68.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
McBain
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
McBain
Dach
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Dach
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Dach
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
3
4
McBain
Dach
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
36.5% (1,423)
+11.5%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
35.7% (98)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
36.0% (25)
-0.3%
On power play, McBain has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. McBain is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (990).
McBain shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
McBain
Dach
Home
49.0% (1,359)
37.0% (857)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
35.8% (689)
By Period
McBain
Dach
P1
46.7%
35.3%
P2
47.5%
34.5%
P3
45.6%
40.4%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |