Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Celebrini 48.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 53.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 76.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 68.1%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
McBain
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
McBain
Celebrini
Last 7: McBain 6-1 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
5
0
McBain
Celebrini
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
McBain
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
48.2% (924)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
52.8% (108)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
56.0% (25)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Home / Away
McBain
Celebrini
Home
52.2% (289)
47.8% (523)
Away
50.0% (316)
49.8% (534)
By Period
McBain
Celebrini
P1
52.6%
47.8%
P2
53.6%
47.4%
P3
47.1%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Jack McBain |