Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 62.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 53.5%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 53.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
McBain
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McBain
Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
McBain
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
47.2% (901)
+4.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
54.7% (139)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
54.5% (11)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
McBain
Celebrini
Home
53.6% (235)
47.6% (553)
Away
46.0% (224)
49.0% (498)
By Period
McBain
Celebrini
P1
48.6%
46.6%
P2
50.9%
46.4%
P3
50.0%
51.8%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |