Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sasson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Sasson 44.0% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 71.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 88.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 90.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
McBain
Sasson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McBain
Sasson
Last 6: McBain 5-1 Sasson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Sasson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Sasson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sasson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
41.7% (266)
+10.4%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
47.4% (19)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
0.0% (1)
+37.0%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sasson shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Sasson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
McBain
Sasson
Home
52.2% (289)
35.6% (101)
Away
50.0% (316)
45.4% (185)
By Period
McBain
Sasson
P1
52.6%
41.5%
P2
53.6%
38.1%
P3
47.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Max Sasson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |