Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 70.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 63.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
McBain
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McBain
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
49.4% (867)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
56.0% (25)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
40.7% (216)
-3.1%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
McBain
Bjugstad
Home
45.5% (437)
46.5% (480)
Away
42.4% (403)
48.9% (628)
By Period
McBain
Bjugstad
P1
43.5%
48.7%
P2
44.0%
45.6%
P3
45.0%
49.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Jack McBain |