Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Faksa 53.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 75.9%
Defensive zone
Faksa 63.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 54.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
McBain
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McBain
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
2
McBain
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
56.4% (289)
-4.3%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
0.0% (2)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
49.2% (126)
-12.2%
On power play, McBain has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
McBain
Faksa
Home
52.2% (289)
54.9% (182)
Away
50.0% (316)
53.2% (235)
By Period
McBain
Faksa
P1
52.6%
61.1%
P2
53.6%
51.3%
P3
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Jack McBain |