Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Thornton 54.3% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 55.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 54.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 52.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Roslovic
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Roslovic
Thornton
Last 10: Roslovic 4-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
4
3
Roslovic
Thornton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
4
Roslovic
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
53.5% (6,640)
-8.6%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
57.2% (1,387)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
56.7% (427)
-22.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Roslovic shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Thornton
Home
44.0% (1,737)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Roslovic
Thornton
P1
45.5%
55.0%
P2
44.6%
53.3%
P3
44.9%
54.4%
OT
31.8%
56.4%
Final 5 min
44.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 12:32 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |