Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.5% vs 44.0%). Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Thornton 46.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 56.3%
Defensive zone
Thornton 64.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 50.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Roslovic
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roslovic
Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
43.5% (161)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
50.0% (14)
+4.8%
On power play, Roslovic has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Thornton
Home
41.6% (442)
41.5% (106)
Away
45.5% (413)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Roslovic
Thornton
P1
44.9%
50.8%
P2
43.8%
41.0%
P3
41.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |