Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.4%). Roslovic wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 53.2% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 82.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 80.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 61.6%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Roslovic
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Roslovic
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (299)
55.4% (345)
-0.2%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
50.0% (4)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
35.3% (17)
-35.3%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Roslovic is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Roslovic shoots right. Kastelic is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Kastelic
Home
54.0% (200)
50.6% (162)
Away
54.2% (155)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Roslovic
Kastelic
P1
57.0%
61.5%
P2
54.3%
52.8%
P3
50.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
54.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |