Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Barron 51.9% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 72.2%
Defensive zone
Barron 50.3%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 53.4%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Roslovic
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Roslovic
Barron
Last 5: Roslovic 2-3 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Barron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
3
Roslovic
Barron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
53.8% (52)
-10.9%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
100.0% (1)
-45.2%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
100.0% (1)
-71.9%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +71.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. Barron is 68.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Barron
Home
41.6% (442)
41.7% (12)
Away
45.5% (413)
59.5% (42)
By Period
Roslovic
Barron
P1
44.9%
45.0%
P2
43.8%
66.7%
P3
41.8%
57.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |