Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 51.7% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 78.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.6%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Last 5: Roslovic 3-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Roslovic
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (204)
48.9% (280)
+3.6%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
50.0% (6)
+2.9%
On even strength, Roslovic has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Roslovic is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Roslovic shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Home
49.6% (119)
48.4% (190)
Away
55.9% (102)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Roslovic
Bjugstad
P1
53.2%
41.7%
P2
53.2%
56.6%
P3
51.9%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |