Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 80.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 74.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Roslovic
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Roslovic
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
49.4% (867)
-3.6%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
56.0% (25)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
40.7% (216)
-2.5%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Roslovic shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Home
45.4% (447)
46.5% (480)
Away
44.6% (442)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Roslovic
Bjugstad
P1
43.2%
48.7%
P2
44.7%
45.6%
P3
47.2%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |