Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Brown 51.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 76.8%
Defensive zone
Brown 73.9%
Neutral zone
Brown 57.5%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Roslovic
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Roslovic
Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
Roslovic
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
52.8% (284)
-7.0%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
75.0% (4)
-32.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
49.0% (51)
-10.8%
On power play, Brown has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Roslovic shoots right. Brown is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Brown
Home
45.4% (447)
53.5% (144)
Away
44.6% (442)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Roslovic
Brown
P1
43.2%
49.0%
P2
44.7%
48.7%
P3
47.2%
58.6%
Final 5 min
43.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |