Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Greig 48.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 72.7%
Defensive zone
Greig 84.2%
Neutral zone
Greig 57.3%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Roslovic
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Roslovic
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
4
2
Roslovic
Greig
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Roslovic
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
48.5% (1,133)
-3.6%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
56.8% (74)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
46.5% (172)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Roslovic shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Greig
Home
44.0% (1,737)
49.8% (681)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Roslovic
Greig
P1
45.5%
46.3%
P2
44.6%
51.2%
P3
44.9%
48.8%
OT
31.8%
28.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |