Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Nash 48.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 84.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 50.3%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 62.3%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Roslovic
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Roslovic
Nash
Last 7: Roslovic 1-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Roslovic
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Roslovic
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
48.7% (4,621)
-3.8%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
51.0% (249)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
44.9% (550)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,065).
Roslovic shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Nash
Home
44.0% (1,737)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Roslovic
Nash
P1
45.5%
49.0%
P2
44.6%
47.9%
P3
44.9%
48.0%
OT
31.8%
68.4%
Final 5 min
44.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 22, 2020 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Riley Nash |