Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Thomas 52.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 58.6%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 50.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Roslovic
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Roslovic
Thomas
Last 9: Roslovic 4-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
0
Roslovic
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Roslovic
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Roslovic
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
53.6% (924)
-7.8%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
55.2% (181)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
44.0% (116)
-5.8%
On power play, Thomas has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Roslovic shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Thomas
Home
45.4% (447)
53.6% (606)
Away
44.6% (442)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Roslovic
Thomas
P1
43.2%
48.2%
P2
44.7%
55.3%
P3
47.2%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
43.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |