Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs McLeod 49.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 84.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.8%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 62.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Roslovic
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Roslovic
McLeod
Last 10: Roslovic 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
4
Roslovic
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
5
Roslovic
McLeod
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
50.4% (3,345)
-5.5%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
51.0% (292)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
44.3% (635)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Roslovic shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Roslovic
McLeod
Home
44.0% (1,737)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Roslovic
McLeod
P1
45.5%
50.8%
P2
44.6%
48.4%
P3
44.9%
50.0%
OT
31.8%
37.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |