Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.0% vs 45.3%). Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Poehling 46.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 75.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 81.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 59.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Roslovic
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Roslovic
Poehling
Last 7: Roslovic 4-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
0
Roslovic
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Roslovic
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
46.5% (269)
-0.7%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
66.7% (3)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
42.4% (139)
-4.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Roslovic shoots right. Poehling is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Poehling
Home
45.4% (447)
45.2% (177)
Away
44.6% (442)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Roslovic
Poehling
P1
43.2%
47.7%
P2
44.7%
44.4%
P3
47.2%
44.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |