Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Aho 52.2% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 50.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 53.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Roslovic
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Roslovic
Aho
Last 6: Roslovic 3-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Roslovic
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
51.6% (819)
-8.7%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
58.4% (173)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
46.3% (67)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Aho
Home
41.6% (442)
53.9% (568)
Away
45.5% (413)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Roslovic
Aho
P1
44.9%
55.4%
P2
43.8%
51.2%
P3
41.8%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
52.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |