Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Studnicka wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Studnicka 47.8% vs Dowd 55.5% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Studnicka 94.7%
Defensive zone
Studnicka 76.0%
Neutral zone
Studnicka 79.5%
Result
Jack Studnicka favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Studnicka
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Studnicka
Dowd
Last 7: Studnicka 1-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Studnicka
1
0
Studnicka
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Studnicka
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Studnicka
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Studnicka
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (91)
58.2% (617)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (10)
47.2% (144)
+32.8%
On penalty kill, Studnicka has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Studnicka is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Studnicka shoots right. Dowd is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Studnicka
Dowd
Home
49.2% (61)
58.4% (399)
Away
40.0% (40)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Studnicka
Dowd
P1
38.9%
59.0%
P2
46.7%
56.1%
P3
51.4%
54.6%
Final 5 min
40.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Studnicka
40.0%▬
39.5%
45.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |