Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Studnicka wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Studnicka 45.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Studnicka 96.2%
Defensive zone
Studnicka 65.0%
Neutral zone
Studnicka 78.5%
Result
Jack Studnicka favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Studnicka
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Studnicka
Dowd
Last 7: Studnicka 1-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Studnicka
1
0
Studnicka
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Studnicka
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Studnicka
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Studnicka
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (557)
52.4% (6,009)
-8.1%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
56.1% (164)
-37.9%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (39)
44.1% (1,635)
+17.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Studnicka is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Studnicka shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Studnicka
Dowd
Home
47.7% (279)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
42.7% (328)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Studnicka
Dowd
P1
41.6%
51.7%
P2
45.3%
50.4%
P3
48.5%
50.3%
Final 5 min
39.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Studnicka
40.0%▬
39.5%
45.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |